Store nationer i Den 3. Verden såsom Brasilien, Indien og Kina går op i gear og trækker fra, konkluderer ny rapport.
Six emerging countries, including China and India, will capture more than half of global growth by 2025 while the Chinese currency will join the US dollar and the euro as full-fledged international currencies, the World Bank said Tuesday.
Emerging economies will collectively expand by an average of 4,7 percent per year between 2011 and 2025, more than twice the developed world’s 2,3 percent rate, it said in a report titled “Global Development Horizons 2011”.
– The balance of global growth and investment will shift to developing or emerging economies, said Mansoor Dailami, the lead author of the report.
The implications are wide-ranging.
For instance, Dailami said this power shift would lead to big boosts in investment flows to the countries driving global growth, with a significant increase in cross-border mergers (sammenslutninger) and acquisitions activity, and a changing corporate landscape in which “you are not going to see the dominance of established multinationals”.
The changing global landscape will require significant changes at the international level, as policy makers seek to respond to a more multi-polar system.
The report suggests that the G20 meetings between industrialized and emerging nations needs to permanently replace the G8 meetings, and that G20 leaders should consider a ‘move to a more rules-based system in anticipation of trends towards multipolarity.
