Seminar: Forandring af militære doktriner

TIME: Tuesday, 13 March, 13.00 – 14.30

VENUE: Danish Institute for International Studies, Main Auditorium, Strandgade 71, ground floor, Christianshavn, 1401 Copenhagen K

TIME: Tuesday, 13 March, 13.00 – 14.30

VENUE: Danish Institute for International Studies, Main Auditorium, Strandgade 71, ground floor, Christianshavn, 1401 Copenhagen K

In this seminar, Maria Sultan examines the importance of the Indian military’s Cold Start Doctrine (CSD), its implications for Pakistan, and subsequently, a possible Pakistani response based on a theory of Integrated Strategic Equivalence (ISE).

This is based on the following assumptions: That the Indian military’s Cold Start Doctrine is revolutionary, for it aims to create a space for limited war not on the basis of multiple assaults inside Pakistani territory in a limited time, but by reducing the space for target selection for an effective deterrence strategy by Pakistan.

The CSD emphasizes for limiting the Pakistani response to only a conventional response and creating a gap for the nuclear response.

This is based on the less than 72 hours timeline to initiate a massive all across Pakistan spatial attack, thereby creating the scope for a limited war. This is, however, challenged by the misperception coefficient that may exist in the Pakistani planners to initiate a nuclear attack.

The Indian in the CSD catered for this challenge by dissipating the major force structures to the border areas, thereby denying counter force targets to Pakistan and leaving the option of strategic value targets of such nuclear threats to major Indian cities vulnerable.

The discrepancy in the threat and response options would create a deterrence challenge for the Pakistani planners once CSD is activated, and the decision to hit Indian cities becomes real.

The question is: Can it be done at the start of the war? And if not, then is it to be supplemented by tactical nukes such as Nasar? And if so, then what kind of deterrent posture is required?

Speakers:
Maria Sultan, Director General, SASSI
Cindy Vestergaard, Project Researcher, DIIS

Programme:

13.00-13.10: Introduction; Cindy Vestergaard, Project Researcher, DIIS

13.10-13.40: Changing Military Doctrines: Implications for Nuclear Stability; Maria Sultan, Director General, SASSI

13.40-14.00: Coffee Break

14.00-14.30: Q&A

The seminar will be held in English.

Participation is free of charge, but registration is required. Read more about the seminar and please use our online registration form on the website no later than Monday, 12 March at 12.00 noon.

Please await confirmation by e-mail from DIIS for participation.