Forholdet mellem Kina og Japan er både præget af stigende rivalitet og indbyrdes afhængighed, skriver dr.scient.pol. og seniorforsker Erik Beukel i en analyse, som netop er udgivet af Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier (DIIS) i København.
Analysen bærer titlen “China and Japan between economic interdependence and nationalist shadows of the past -Chinese nationalism and territorial clashes in the East China Sea”.
I resumeet hedder det:
The territorial clash in the East China Sea in late 2010 between China and Japan illustrates the volatility of the relations between East Asia’s two economic giants.
China’s leaders adopted a ‘Janus-like’ position in this as in earlier crises in order to pursue at the same time China’s basic interest in close economic ties with Japan and domestic stability in China.
The critical question is whether China’s leaders can continue to adopt successful duality policies.
Two factors may cause a breakdown of the Janus-like policy: a major failure of the Chinese economy and a breakdown of unity among China’s leaders as it happened in early 1989. The leaders are better able to control the second factor than the first-mentioned.
However, the obvious merge of Chinese and Western economic interests may help China’s leaders overcome the difficulties in applying Janus-like policy also in future crises.
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“Popular Nationalism in China and the Sino-Japanese Relationship – The Conflict in the East China Sea”
Erik Beukel, DIIS Report: http://diis.dk/sw104823.asp
Publications & Information Unit, DIIS – Danish Institute for International Studies, Strandgade 56, 1401 Kbn K. E-mail: [email protected] og tlf. 32 69 89 39. Web: www.diis.dk
