SUDAN: Fallout scenarios
CAIRO, 20 March 2009 (IRIN): The expulsion or closure of 16 aid groups in Sudan could worsen North-South relations in Africas largest country, stall the Darfur peace process and deter future humanitarian action, analysts said.
The decision, and the 16 March announcement that Sudan would “nationalise” all humanitarian work within one year, have attracted condemnation from the highest levels of the UN and the US.
– The ICC (International Criminal Court) row in general, and the expulsion of the aid agencies in particular, certainly have the potential to destabilise North-South relations, says Wolfram Lacher, a Sudan analyst with the London-based Control Risks Group consultancy.
Though partners in a national unity government since a 2005 peace deal, the Norths National Congress Party (NCP) and the Souths Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) have been at odds over the border demarcation, distribution of oil revenue and timing of elections.
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