Rapport: Venezuelas gode økonomi er langtidsholdbar

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Mens valgkampen raser i Venezuela har Center for Economic and Policy Research undersøgt Venezuelas økonomi. Rapporten konkluderer, at Venezuelas økonomiske vækst er stabil, selvom økonomer i ti år har advaret om Venezuelas snarlige økonomiske sammenbrud.

WASHINGTON DC, 26th of September, 2012: The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) released a report today on Venezuela’s economic recovery, which is often called into question by analysts and the press. The report, “Venezuela’s Economic Recovery: Is it Sustainable?”, looks at the country’s foreign and domestic debt, inflation, balance of payments, and other aspects of the economic recovery to see if it is sustainable, writes Center for Economic and Policy Research in a press release Wednesday.

“For most analysts over most of the past 13 years, Venezuela’s economic collapse has always been just around the corner,” noted economist Mark Weisbrot, Co-Director of CEPR and co-author of the report. “But it hasn’t happened, and these forecasts appear to have been based on some wishful thinking.”

Venezuela went into recession at the beginning of 2009, during the world economic crisis and recession. Recovery began after five quarters, in the second quarter of 2010. The economy grew by 4.2 percent in 2011, and expanded by 5.6 percent for the first half of 2012. Nonetheless, most forecasts and analysts remain gloomy about Venezuela’s economic future.

“Venezuela’s current economic recovery, as well as the rise in living standards, poverty reduction, and increased access to education and health care since the government got control over its oil industry nearly 10 years ago – all this goes a long way toward explaining why President Hugo Chávez is likely to be re-elected on October 7th,” Weisbrot noted.

Since 2004, when the economy had recovered from the 2002-2003 recession, poverty fell by nearly half and extreme poverty by 70 percent. This measures only cash income, and does not include such gains as the provision of health care to millions of Venezuelans, or the doubling of college enrollment, with free tuition for many students.

Løs mere her: http://www.cepr.net/index.php/press-releases/press-releases/new-report-looks-at-sustainability-of-venezuelas-economic-recovery
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