Ja, hvad er egentlig drivkræfterne for, at u-landene får gang i de produktive sektorer?
De herskende eliter i mange u-lande burde vel til enhver tid støtte de dele af samfundet, der skaffer indtjening på bordet, skulle man mene.
Men gør de nu også det? Tænk bare på Afrikas livsvigtige jordbrug, som udsultes for investeringer og støtte i mange lande.
Så gør magthaverne det først og fremmest kun, hvis det gavner deres egne interesser og politiske overleven?
De 2 senior-forskere, Lindsay Whitfield og Ole Therkildsen, på Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier (DIIS), hælder i et nyt studie mest til, at det er rå egeninteresser, der får den herskende klasse til at agere.
I en omtale af papiret, som netop er udsendt af DIIS, hedder det:
We know a lot about what kinds of policies are needed to support the development of productive sectors. We know much less about why governments in developing countries pursue these policies and why some governments achieve better outcomes than others.
Project Senior Researcher Lindsay Whitfield and Senior Researcher Ole Therkildsen in the present DIIS Working Paper review the many, but disparate arguments on this topic and build on the most convincing answers to create a new framework for analyzing why and how ruling political elites support productive sector development and with what outcomes.
The authors make the following three propositions, which build on each other:
* Ruling elites support the development of productive sectors when they perceive that this will help them to remain in power.
* Ruling elites choose policies and implementation arrangements as part of their strategies for maintaining ruling coalitions and/or winning elections.
* Such choices affect the policies that political elites choose, which sectors they support, and how capable they are of implementing them.
Good economic outcomes depend on
* close relations between the ruling elite and the relevant productive entrepreneurs based on mutual interests between them; and
* the ability of the ruling elite to create bureaucratic capabilities to implement specific policies.
These propositions are elaborated in the paper, and the authors seek to identify factors and causal mechanisms that can help to explain differences in performance across productive sectors within a country and across countries and regions.
“What Drives States to Support the Development of Productive Sectors? – Strategies ruling elites pursue for political survival and their policy implications”
Lindsay Whitfield, Ole Therkildsen, DIIS Working Paper: http://www.diis.dk/sw111255.asp
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