Antallet af malariatilfælde falder når byerne vokser

Hedebølge i Californien. Verdens klimakrise har enorme sundhedsmæssige konsekvenser. Alligevel samtænkes Danmarks globale klima- og sundhedsindsats i alt for ringe grad, mener tre  debattører.


Foto: Kevin Carter/Getty Images
Laurits Holdt

Forskere har påvist sammenhæng mellem urbanisering og økonomisk udvikling og fald i antallet af malariatilfælde. Det er dog usikkert om det er urbaniseringen og den økonomiske fremgang, der er skyld i malariaens tilbagegang eller om det er omvendt.

The past century has seen a significant contraction in the global extent of malaria transmission, resulting in over 50 countries being declared malaria free, and many regions of currently endemic countries eliminating the disease. Moreover, substantial reductions in transmission have been seen since 1900 in those areas that remain endemic today.

Recent work showed that this malaria recession was unlikely to have been driven by climatic factors, and that control measures likely played a significant role.

It has long been considered, however, that economic development, and particularly urbanization, has also been a causal factor.

The urbanization process results in profound socio-economic and landscape changes that reduce malaria transmission, but the magnitude and extent of these effects on global endemicity reductions are poorly understood.

A consistent pattern of increased urbanization coincident with decreasing malaria transmission and elimination over the past century was found.

Whilst it remains challenging to untangle whether this increased urbanization resulted in decreased transmission, or that malaria reductions promoted development, the results point to a close relationship between the two, irrespective of national wealth. The continuing rapid urbanization in malaria-endemic regions suggests that such malaria declines are likely to continue, particularly catalyzed by increasing levels of direct malaria control.

Læs hele artiklen i Malaria Journal: http://www.malariajournal.com/content/12/1/133