The Khartoum government has yet to make good on an agreement on sharing oil wealth with southern Sudan, potentially jeopardizing (bringe i fare) the fragile peace as the south’s population votes on whether to split the country in two, according to a report Wednesday by Global Witness, the UK-based resource lobbyists.
Her er omtalen af rapporten på www.globalwitness.org
Persistent calls for clear and transparent information on Sudan’s oil revenues have yet to yield satisfactory information. With a referendum on independence for southern Sudan just days away, oil sector transparency is now more important than ever to preserving the fragile peace between north and south.
The report, “Crude Calculations”, acknowledges some promising recent developments, but raises significant questions about the implementation of the current oil wealth-sharing agreement. The report’s key observations include:
* The explanations provided by the Sudanese govern-ment and CNPC, the main oil company in Sudan, for why the company’s oil production figures were significantly larger than those published by the government, do not stand up to scrutiny.
* The Sudanese government and CNPC have so far declined to provide Global Witness with any data to back up their explanations for the discrepancies, despite originally saying that this would be possible, and despite considerable efforts by Global Witness to obtain the information.
* The Sudanese government no longer publishes as much information as it did before June 2009, making it even more difficult for citizens to verify that the oil revenues have been shared fairly.
Some action has been taken to begin an independent audit of the oil sector, as previously recommended by Global Witness.
– With both sides hugely reliant on oil revenues from the south, this issue is paramount going into the referendum, said Global Witness Campaigner Rosie Sharpe, adding:
– Suspicions over the sharing of oil revenues under the current peace deal have greatly added to the mistrust between the two parties – so the single best way to ensure stability after the referendum is to put a transparent and verifiable new oil deal in place.
On 18 August 2010, Global Witness participated in a government-sponsored seminar in Khartoum on oil sector transparency, at which both the government and CNPC attempted to explain the
9-26 per cent discrepancies (forskelle/udsving) between their oil production figures which were highlighted in our September 2009 report Fuelling Mistrust. As the north and south negotiate a new oil deal, the purpose of this report is to analyze the explanations provided at the seminar based on the information currently available. (1 – see below)
The main explanation given by the Sudanese government was that the oil company’s production figures consist of a mix of oil and water, whereas their production figures do not.
This implies that CNPC, a major, international oil company, publishes in its annual reports the number of barrels of oily water it extracts. Global Witness spoke to several oil industry experts who discredited this explanation.
CNPC’s primary explanation was that the oil production volumes are measured in different places – in the oil field and at the final point of export – and that it is typical for an oil company to consume or lose 5-15 per cent of oil between these two points.
If this is true, it implies that oil companies in Sudan consumed or lost 500 million US dollar worth of oil in 2010 alone. (2 – see below).
A Sudan oil analyst told Global Witness: – I cannot believe they [CNPC in Sudan] consume 5-15 per cent of their oil on the operations”.
The government also made several commitments at the seminar in August to improve transparency in the oil sector, and has since followed through on some of them, including moving forward with an audit.
– It is heartening to hear that an independent audit of the oil sector is now moving ahead. But if it is to increase transparency and trust in the sector, it needs to be conducted promptly, by a credible auditing company given full access to the necessary data, and with the results made publicly available, said Sharpe.
NOTES:
(1) The explanations given by the government were:
That the company figures may include water, gas and solids; and
That the company figures were measured at non-standard pressures and temperatures.
It is unheard of for a large, internationally operating oil company like CNPC to publish production figures including large amounts of water in its annual reports to investors. Regarding non-standard measurements, again Global Witness consulted industry experts who maintained that this explanation was typically “irrelevant” when reporting oil production volumes.
One oil analyst that Global Witness spoke to said that he had “certainly never heard of [temperature and pressure] affecting reported [production] figures in annual reports”.
The explanations given by CNPC were:
That volume was lost due to company consumption for purposed such as fuel for boilers and power plants, running the pipelines and natural wastage; and
That volume was lost during normal processing, claiming that a 5-15% loss of crude oil between the field and point of export is the international norm.
If it is true that 5-15 per cent of crude oil production is consumed or lost by the oil consortia, then this raises the question to how the government ensures that such losses are being minimized. After all, at present, such losses affect the government’s oil income.
(2) The Sudanese federal and southern governments earned over 4,5 billion dollar from oil in 2010 alone [GoSS Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, Report on the sharing of the wealth from the oil revenues for September 2010, available at www.petrolgoss.net].
If 10 per cent of oil production had been consumed or lost by the oil companies operating there, this implies losses to the governments of 500 million.
Note that the government oil revenues are for Jan-Sept 2010 only; revenues for the full year are likely to be considerably larger. The 500 million dollar figure is therefore a conservative estimate.
Hele rapporten kan downloades på
http://www.globalwitness.org/sites/default/files/library/110104_Crude%20Calculations.pdf
